Upsetting the Elephant

elephant.jpgSo. All the blues and reds went out to vote today.

From numbers harvested off ABCNews.com, at 9:30 p.m., the total number of nominating convention delegates won by the various candidates makes McCain look like he’s well ahead of Clinton and Obama, but if you look at the raw numbers of votes each candidate got, a different story entirely emerges.

Looking at the vote tallies for the frontrunners of each state for which there were comparable figures at the time I wrote this, the Democratic frontrunner is outvoting the Republican frontrunner like so:

  • AL – 1.6 times as many votes
  • AR – 1.9 times as many votes
  • CT – 2.1 times as many votes
  • DE – 2.0 times as many votes
  • GA – 1.8 times as many votes
  • MA – 2.8 times as many votes
  • MO – 2.8 times as many votes
  • NJ – 2.0 times as many votes
  • NY – 2.9 times as many votes
  • TN – 3.7 times as many votes
  • UT – 3.4 times as many votes

I realize all the numbers aren’t in yet. In a couple of the states, the numbers showed a 10-time lead in raw votes for Democrats, and I figured something was squinky with the tallies for those states, so I threw them out.

Still, if these early results show a lead in numbers of voters in each state ranging from 1.6 to 3.7 – roughly 2 to 4 times as many voters picking a Democratic candidate – we might have a really good November.

Subvocalizing to self: don’tgetcockytoosoontocelebrate

But damn! Wouldn’t that be nice??